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By Marjolein B.A. van Asselt

This quantity is meant to stimulate a transformation within the perform of selection help, advocating an interdisciplinary technique targeted on either social and traditional sciences, either idea and perform.
It addresses the difficulty of research and administration of uncertainty and danger in selection aid akin to the goals of built-in review. A pluralistic procedure is critical to account for valid plural interpretations of uncertainty and a number of chance perceptions. quite a lot of equipment and instruments is gifted to give a contribution to sufficient and potent pluralistic uncertainty administration and chance research in determination aid endeavours. distinctive awareness is given to the advance of 1 such procedure, the Pluralistic fRamework for built-in uncertainty administration and threat research (PRIMA), of which the sensible price is explored within the context of the Environmental Outlooks produced by means of the Dutch Institute for Public healthiness and surroundings (RIVM).
Audience: This publication can be of curiosity to researchers and practitioners whose paintings comprises determination aid, uncertainty administration, possibility research, environmental making plans, and built-in Assessment.

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1 55-179. , and van Asselt, M. B. A. (1996). " Climatic Change, 34(3-4), 327-336. A. "From scenarios to visions. A long way to go. " Open meeting of the Human Dimensions of Global Environmental Change Research Community, Laxenburg, Austria. , and van Asselt, M. B. A. (2000). " Ecological Economics and Integrated Assessment: A participatory process for including equity, efficiency and scale in decisionmaking for sustainability, R. Constanza and 5. , SCOPE, Paris, France. , and Mellors,J. {1999).

20 CHAPTER I In Chapter 4 the relationship between uncertainty and risk is explored in order to assess how the two notions can supplement each other. e. pluralism, participation and robustness, are studied in more depth and the interlinkages between these criteria are explored in order to provide a basis for crystallising the ideas. The theoretical endeavour in this and the previous chapters then culminates into defining integrated uncertainty management and risk analysis in a way that is theoretically sound.

We propose to distinguish between global lA studies, regional lA studies and theme-specific lA studies. g. (Weyant et al. 1996; Rotmans and Dowlatabadi 1998; Parson and Fisher-Vanden 1997) 46 (Rot mans 1998b) 33 INTEGRATED AssESSMENT SUPPLY-DRIVEN facts, hypotheses & uncertainties analytical methods participatory process societal aspirations, constraints & public knowledge DEMAND-DRIVEN FIGURE 4 Demand-driven versus supply-driven lA country, a city or a river basin, and theme-specific integrated assessments focus on a particular issue or sector like acidification or energy.

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