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By Mario Monti (auth.), Donald E. Fair, François Léonard de Juvigny (eds.)

The papers gathered during this quantity are these offered on the 11th Colloquium prepared through the Societe Universitaire Europeenne de Recherches Financieres (SUERF) which happened in Madrid in October 1983. The Society is supported via a great number of principal banks, advertisement banks and different monetary and company associations, via treasury officers and via lecturers and others attracted to financial and monetary difficulties. seeing that its institution in 1963 it has built as a discussion board for the trade of informa­ tion, study effects and ideas, valued by means of lecturers and practitioners in those fields, together with significant financial institution officers and civil servants answerable for formulat­ ing and using financial and monetary rules. an immense job of SUERF is to arrange and behavior Colloquia on sub­ jects of topical curiosity to participants. The titles, areas and dates of earlier Col­ loquia for which volumes of the accumulated Papers have been released are famous at the final web page of this quantity. Volumes weren't produced for Colloquia held at Tarra­ gona, Spain in October 1970 lower than the name "Monetary coverage and New strengthen­ ments in Banking" and at Strasbourg, France in January 1972 below the identify "Aspects of ecu financial Union".

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This hoarding is probably connected with the high level of uncertainty generated by the current recession and the fact that the public has adopted a wait-and-see attitude towards economic recovery. Increased attractiveness of government bonds relative to saving deposits also played a role. The United Kingdom, by the way, forms a striking exception to this rule in that the government sector has eliminated considerable amounts of liquidity, mainly as a result of over-funding, while at the same time reducing the government deficit.

6) Notation: EXP = Change in government outlays as a percentage of GNP GDP = Real output growth, percentage point change INT = Long-term bond rate, percentage point change. Needless to say, these adjustments are arbitrary, and the balances shown should be interpreted accordingly. On the other hand, since a convergence of policies has been given increasing emphasis in recent discussions and a "return to normal" probably involves higher real output growth as well as a reduction in the share of public expenditure and in nominal interest rates, the calculations may give some idea as to the direction of changes.

In the United States, public indebtedness has risen sharply only since 1982. One may ask: is this increase in government deficits and public indebtedness really such a crucial point? There are, indeed, some analysts who maintain that the only real problem is the total size of the public sector and its share of GNP, and that it makes no great difference whether the excessive public expenditure is financed wholly by taxes or partly by borrowing. It would remain the same burden on the private sector.

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