Download Econometrics Informing Natural Resources Management: by Phoebe Koundouri PDF

By Phoebe Koundouri

This attention-grabbing publication outlines the elemental ideas and problems that represent the tough activity of utilizing econometrics to notify normal source administration guidelines, and illustrates them via a couple of case experiences from worldwide. The e-book bargains a complete evaluate of the wider photo of the cutting-edge in econometrics as utilized to environmental and average source administration. It encompasses a wide selection of econometric concepts that may be used to notify ordinary source administration, whereas retaining a stability among tools and purposes. Case experiences were rigorously selected to be of significant problem within the enviornment of environmental coverage, frequently in Europe (both ecu member states and assessing countries), but additionally within the US and a few constructing international locations. Econometrics Informing average assets administration can be welcomed via teachers and researchers attracted to the components of typical source economics and econometrics, and in addition utilized econometrics.

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Additional resources for Econometrics Informing Natural Resources Management: Selected Empirical Analyses (New Horizons in Environmental Economics)

Sample text

The GGR is an important concept in the analysis of sustainability and is characterized by the highest sustainable or long-run level of utility. 9 Interestingly, Heal (1998) shows that a solution to the renewable resource problem involving the use of DDRs that are asymptotic to zero as t → ϱ is asymptotically equivalent to the solution in the presence of zero discount rates, since the dynamic equations are asymptotically equivalent. That is, when DDRs are used, the long-run stationary solution tends towards the GGR.

Uncertainty is therefore regarded as existing from day one, and all that is required is the current probability distribution of the discount rate. In a further article, Weitzman (2001) takes precisely this approach. In order to establish the probability distribution for the socially optimal discount rate he undertakes a survey of over 2000 academic economists, and a so-called ‘blue ribbon’ selection of 50, as to their opinion on the constant rate of discount to use for CBA. The responses were distributed with a gamma distribution with mean 4%, and standard deviation 3%, providing 32 Introduction an ad hoc working assumption to determine the schedule of DDRs.

Not only this, but we have provided a methodology à la Newell and Pizer (2003) for the estimation of a working schedule of DDRs assuming that future discount rates are uncertain and the past provides information about the future. The implications of this are that a correctly specified model of discount rates provides a schedule of DDRs which values atmospheric carbon reduction 150% higher than conventional exponential discounting, and almost 90% higher than incorrectly specified models. In this sense, sustainable outcomes are more likely to emerge from project appraisal with DDRs, but given that the theory of DDRs for CBA reviewed relates to the socially efficient discount rate, such outcomes can also be thought of as efficient.

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